技术将彻底重塑经济,而它会变成什么样,由我们决定
Technology is going to drastically reshape the economy, and it's within our power to decide what that looks like
2026 年 9 月 13 日,《卫报》(原文未署作者)
September 13, 2026, The Guardian
认为自主的、能够思考的机器有朝一日会摧毁财产、等级与不平等,这一想法与西方政治思想一样古老。在亚里士多德的《政治学》中,哲学家引用了《伊利亚特》里的一个幻想:机器开始脱离人的指令而自行行动。他由此得出结论:「如果每一件工具都能在受命时自行完成自己的工作,或能预先看出该做什么……如果织梭会自行纺织、琴弦会自行奏响竖琴,那么师傅就不再需要帮工,主人也不再需要奴隶。」
The idea that autonomous, thinking machines may one day destroy property, hierarchy and inequality is as old as western political thought. In Aristotle's Politics, the philosopher cites a fantasy from the Iliad, in which machines begin to act independently of human direction, concluding: "If every tool could perform its own work when ordered, or by seeing what to do in advance … if thus shuttles wove and quills played harps of themselves, master-craftsmen would have no need of assistants and masters no need of slaves."
自动化能够开创一个无阶级社会的梦想,同样存在于卡尔·马克思的著作中。1858 年,他设想以「社会化的知识」取代知识财产,而这些知识将汇集成一种「一般智力」,把资本主义的根基炸上天空。
The dream that automation could inaugurate a classless society is also present in the writings of Karl Marx. In 1858 he imagined the replacement of intellectual property with "socialised knowledge", which would merge into a "general intellect", blowing the foundations of capitalism sky high.
今天,这一前景开始萦绕硅谷。今年 7 月,OpenAI 战略未来主管迪恩·鲍尔(Dean Ball)声称,中国对人工智能开源模型的拥护,可能带来「彻底的 AI 共产主义」。
Today this prospect has begun to haunt Silicon Valley. In July, Dean Ball, head of strategic futures at OpenAI, claimed China's advocacy of open-source models of artificial intelligence might bring about "full AI communism".
鲍尔抱怨说,对中国而言,「人工智能是一种公共产品,最终将由国家以某种『数字公共基础设施』的形式来提供。」他总结道:「这在我看来就是一个反乌托邦的地狱。」
For China, Ball complained, "AI is a public good which will ultimately be provided by the state as a kind of 'digital public infrastructure'." This, he concluded, "strikes me as a dystopian hellscape".
尽管我很享受鲍尔的不适,我仍然怀疑中国竞争性模型——Kimi、Qwen 与 DeepSeek——的崛起是否预示着资本主义的终结。毋宁说,这是用一种全球支配战略去对抗另一种战略的尝试。
Though I relish Ball's discomfort, I doubt the rise of rival Chinese models – Kimi, Qwen and Deepseek – heralds the end of capitalism. Rather, it is an attempt to counter one strategy for global domination with another.